Universitatea Craiovavs
Universitatea Cluj
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/7/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitatea Craiova 4-0 Universitatea Cluj
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.5% | 53.3% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 23.0% | 23.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.27 | 17.5% | 23.2% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40