UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova

Home
WW
10
Full time
ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk

Away
LL
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
GoalVio prediction
68% confidence
Universitatea Craiova(68%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Universitatea Craiova
Win probability
Universitatea Craiova
68%
Draw
19%
ML Vitebsk
13%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Universitatea Craiova
86
ML Vitebsk
18
Defence
Universitatea Craiova
82
ML Vitebsk
14
Momentum
Universitatea Craiova
100
ML Vitebsk
0
Danger (xG)
Universitatea Craiova
2.25
ML Vitebsk
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Universitatea Craiova)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (ML Vitebsk)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Universitatea Craiova)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (ML Vitebsk)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
WDWWD
ML VitebskML Vitebsk
LLWWD

Probability breakdown

68% confidence
Universitatea Craiova68%
Draw19%
ML Vitebsk13%

Universitatea Craiova leads with 68% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Universitatea Craiova head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco in decent form (WW), while ML Vitebsk arrive in mixed form (LL). Universitatea Craiova have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for ML Vitebsk over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Universitatea Craiova's elite attack (86/100) faces a vulnerable ML Vitebsk defence (14/100), while ML Vitebsk's attack is up against a watertight Universitatea Craiova backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Universitatea Craiova's favour.

Universitatea Craiova have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. ML Vitebsk have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Universitatea Craiova have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Universitatea Craiova to win with 68% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Universitatea Craiova 6793%, Draw 1945%, ML Vitebsk 1262%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Universitatea Craiova 2Draws 00 ML Vitebsk
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/2
15 Jul 2026
Universitatea Craiova
W10
ML Vitebsk
8 Jul 2026
Universitatea Craiova
W41
ML Vitebsk

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs ML Vitebsk?

GoalVio's model predicts Universitatea Craiova to win with 68% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Universitatea Craiova vs ML Vitebsk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Universitatea Craiova vs ML Vitebsk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Universitatea Craiova vs ML Vitebsk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more