Universitatea Craiovavs
Getafe
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Getafe
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 32.7% | 35.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 31.2% | 29.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 36.1% | 34.9% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.02 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.7%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20