Universitatea Craiovavs
FCSB
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitatea Craiova 5-0 FCSB
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.8% | 61.1% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 21.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.9% | 17.6% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60