Universitatea Craiovavs
Farul Constanta
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Farul Constanta
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.1% | 71.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.4% | 17.2% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.75 | 13.6% | 10.9% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
71.9%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60