Universitatea Craiovavs
Ararat-Armenia
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Universitatea Craiova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitatea Craiova hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Universitatea Craiova holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
13.0%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80