Universitatea Clujvs
Arges Pitesti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Cluj · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Universitatea Cluj 1-0 Arges Pitesti, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitatea Cluj 2-2 Arges Pitesti
Original prediction
Universitatea Cluj
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.4% | 54.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.1% | 25.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.5% | 19.7% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Arges Pitesti
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Cluj
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Universitatea Cluj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20