Universitariovs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/5/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universitario are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 42.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20