Universitariovs
Juan Pablo II College
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitario 3-0 Juan Pablo II College
Original prediction
Universitario
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 70.4% | 62.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 18.4% | 20.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 8.35 | 11.2% | 17.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60