GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/21/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universitario are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Goias are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (LDDD), averaging 0.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.4 against 50.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GoiasLDDD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.25/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
UniversitarioGoias
33.3Attack29.2
70.4Defence66.7
48.1Form50.0
52.4Power50.9
0.79xG0.55
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