Universitariovs
Gimnasia L.P.
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/29/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universitario are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia L.P. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40