Universitariovs
Deportivo Garcilaso
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/23/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universitario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.7 against 57.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20