Universitariovs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/19/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universitario are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Corinthians are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80