GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/10/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universitario are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cienciano are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.4 against 54.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CiencianoWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
UniversitarioCienciano
33.3Attack53.3
70.4Defence63.3
48.1Form50.0
52.4Power54.2
0.81xG0.91
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