GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cienciano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.7 against 58.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CiencianoWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioCienciano
46.0Attack58.7
68.3Defence55.6
57.1Form57.1
58.7Power58.0
1.32xG1.02
View match centre →