Universitariovs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universitario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.3% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
24.3%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40