UniversitariovsAlianza Lima

Universitario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.