UniversitariovsAlianza Atletico

Universitario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.