GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/4/2023, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universitario are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Academia Cantolao are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Academia CantolaoL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
UniversitarioAcademia Cantolao
46.0Attack19.4
68.3Defence42.6
57.1Form24.1
58.7Power31.8
1.84xG0.41
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