Universitario de Vintovs
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario de Vinto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitario de Vinto 2-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Original prediction
Universitario de Vinto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.3% | 51.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.8% | 22.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.9% | 25.5% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Universitario de Vinto
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Universitario de Vinto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60