Universitario de Vintovs
Real Oruro
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario de Vinto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitario de Vinto 1-3 Real Oruro
Original prediction
Universitario de Vinto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.0% | 50.8% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.5% | 20.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.5% | 28.6% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Universitario de Vinto
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Universitario de Vinto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20