Universitario de Vintovs
Oriente Petrolero
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitario de Vinto 3-0 Oriente Petrolero
Original prediction
Oriente Petrolero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.0% | 26.0% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 23.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.6% | 50.2% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Oriente Petrolero
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Oriente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00