GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario de Vinto · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universitario de Vinto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Potosí hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universitario de Vinto holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario de Vinto

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Universitario de Vinto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universitario de VintoWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional PotosíLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Universitario de VintoNacional Potosí
0.0Attack38.1
33.3Defence38.1
0.0Form47.6
15.3Power42.5
1.41xG1.11
View match centre →