Universitario de Vintovs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario de Vinto · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Universitario de Vinto are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Potosí hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universitario de Vinto holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario de Vinto
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Universitario de Vinto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00