Universitario de Vintovs
Guabirá
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario de Vinto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitario de Vinto 3-1 Guabirá
Original prediction
Universitario de Vinto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.3% | 46.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 24.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.8% | 30.0% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Universitario de Vinto
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Universitario de Vinto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20