Universitario de Vintovs
Aurora
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Aurora
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.6% | 34.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 28.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.8% | 37.3% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80