GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 9/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salcedo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Universidad O&M 1-2 Salcedo

Original prediction

Salcedo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1728.0%29.0%0.9 pts
Draw3.2727.2%26.8%-0.4 pts
Away1.9944.7%44.2%-0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Salcedo

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Salcedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad O&MWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SalcedoDWDWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad O&MSalcedo
52.4Attack77.8
66.7Defence83.3
52.4Form77.8
57.0Power78.0
1.04xG1.41
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