GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Universidad O&M 0-0 Moca

Original prediction

Moca

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6034.3%32.8%-1.5 pts
Draw2.9630.0%29.4%-0.6 pts
Away2.4935.7%37.8%2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–112%

Predicted outcome

Moca

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad O&MLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MocaDDDWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad O&MMoca
33.3Attack0.0
16.7Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
21.5Power48.3
1.03xG1.22
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