GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universidad O&M are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Moca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Moca hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the Liga Mayor, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

23.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad O&MDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MocaDWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad O&MMoca
33.3Attack35.8
58.0Defence69.1
39.5Form51.9
45.6Power53.2
0.65xG0.84
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