GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 4/11/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cibao · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Universidad O&M are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Cibao are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cibao hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Liga Mayor, while Cibao holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cibao

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad O&MWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
CibaoWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 2.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Universidad O&MCibao
33.3Attack61.1
58.0Defence80.0
39.5Form70.0
45.6Power69.8
0.52xG1.51
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