GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 4/15/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universidad O&M are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Atlántico are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlántico hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga Mayor, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad O&MDWWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.25/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
AtlánticoWLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Universidad O&MAtlántico
33.3Attack46.4
58.0Defence54.8
39.5Form47.6
45.6Power51.1
0.95xG1.08
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