Chile · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Universidad de Concepcion 0-1 Universidad de Chile, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Universidad de Concepcion 2-1 Universidad de Chile
Original prediction
Universidad de Chile
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 19.8% | 12.0% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.0% | 23.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 55.2% | 64.7% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Projected Score
Universidad de Concepcion 0–1 Universidad de Chile
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Universidad de Chile
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80