Universidad de Concepcionvs
Union La Calera
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 5/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Universidad de Concepcion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union La Calera are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union La Calera hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60