Universidad de Concepcionvs
Huachipato
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huachipato · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universidad de Concepcion 0-2 Huachipato
Original prediction
Huachipato
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.8% | 32.0% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.9% | 26.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.3% | 41.4% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Huachipato
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Huachipato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40