Universidad de Concepcionvs
Deportes Limache
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Limache · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Universidad de Concepcion 0-1 Deportes Limache
Original prediction
Deportes Limache
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.9% | 22.7% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.4% | 23.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.6% | 54.0% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Limache
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Deportes Limache has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20