GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universidad de Chile are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Palestino are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWDDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PalestinoWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad de ChilePalestino
33.3Attack14.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form28.6
23.7Power39.6
0.96xG0.82
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