Universidad de Chilevs
Nublense
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Universidad de Chile 1-0 Nublense, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Universidad de Chile 6-0 Nublense
Original prediction
Universidad de Chile
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.8% | 59.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 5.75 | 16.1% | 16.0% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Universidad de Chile 1–0 Nublense
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Universidad de Chile
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00