GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/23/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universidad de Chile are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lanus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad de Chile holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWDWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LanusWWWDD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad de ChileLanus
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power40.7
1.26xG1.15
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