Universidad de Chilevs
Independiente
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/14/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Universidad de Chile are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40