GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 10/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Universidad de Chile 1-0 Everton de Vina, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Universidad de Chile 4-1 Everton de Vina

Original prediction

Universidad de Chile

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6356.9%53.4%-3.5 pts
Draw4.0722.8%25.4%2.7 pts
Away4.5620.3%21.1%0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.5 pts

Projected Score

Universidad de Chile 1–0 Everton de Vina

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Everton de VinaWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
56.9Attack51.4
73.6Defence61.1
62.5Form50.0
64.3Power54.9
1.47xG0.72
View match centre →