GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/17/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universidad de Chile are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Guarani are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club GuaraniLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad de ChileClub Guarani
33.3Attack48.1
33.3Defence63.0
0.0Form55.6
23.7Power56.9
0.94xG1.35
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