Universidad de Chilevs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/26/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Universidad de Chile are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 39.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00