GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 1/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad de Chile are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while A. Italiano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.0% in the Primera División, while Universidad de Chile holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

19.0%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
A. ItalianoWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad de ChileA. Italiano
42.6Attack40.7
77.8Defence53.7
61.1Form37.0
62.1Power45.3
1.34xG0.56
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