GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vitoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VitoriaLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad CatolicaVitoria
44.4Attack16.7
81.5Defence77.8
55.6Form33.3
60.1Power45.6
0.97xG0.45
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