GGOALVIO

Universidad Catolica logoUniversidad CatolicavsUnion La Calera logoUnion La Calera

COMPLETED

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/10/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union La Calera are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Union La CaleraWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad CatolicaUnion La Calera
44.4Attack9.5
81.5Defence66.7
55.6Form33.3
60.1Power39.2
1.11xG0.41
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