Universidad Catolicavs
Libertad
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 4/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad Catolica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.0% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
19.0%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20