Universidad Catolicavs
Leones del Norte
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad Catolica are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
20.3%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40