GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

20.3%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leones del NorteDDDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Universidad CatolicaLeones del Norte
54.2Attack33.3
70.8Defence65.3
54.2Form44.4
59.5Power49.4
1.24xG0.52
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