Liga ProLiga Pro
Wednesday, 15 July 202623:00Last updated 15:03
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

Home
WL
10
Full time
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito

Away
LLW
GoalVio prediction
35% confidence
Draw(35%)
Prediction missed— Result: Universidad Catolica
Win probability
Universidad Catolica
33%
Draw
35%
LDU de Quito
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Universidad Catolica
54
LDU de Quito
34
Defence
Universidad Catolica
46
LDU de Quito
77
Momentum
Universidad Catolica
50
LDU de Quito
33
Danger (xG)
Universidad Catolica
1.35
LDU de Quito
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Universidad Catolica)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (LDU de Quito)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Universidad Catolica)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (LDU de Quito)
0.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
WLL
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
LLWDW

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Universidad Catolica33%
Draw35%
LDU de Quito32%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Universidad Catolica head into this in Liga Pro fixture in mixed form (WL), while LDU de Quito arrive in mixed form (LLW). Universidad Catolica have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for LDU de Quito over 3 games.

The model rates Universidad Catolica's attack at 54/100 against a 77/100 LDU de Quito defence, and LDU de Quito's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Universidad Catolica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Universidad Catolica have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. LDU de Quito have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Universidad Catolica have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 35% confidence. Win probabilities: Universidad Catolica 3265%, Draw 3497%, LDU de Quito 3239%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Universidad Catolica 1Draws 00 LDU de Quito
Avg goals: 1.0
15 Jul 2026
Universidad Catolica
W10
LDU de Quito

Recent form

Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

W
vs LDU de Quito
15 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Mushuc Runa SC
6 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Independiente del Valle
13 May 2026
02
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito

L
@ Universidad Catolica
15 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Macara
5 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Orense SC
1 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Tecnico Universitario
15 May 2026
11
W
@ Mushuc Runa SC
12 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more