GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 5/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente del ValleWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
54.2Attack81.3
70.8Defence68.0
54.2Form85.3
59.5Power78.3
1.05xG1.27
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