Universidad Catolicavs
Guayaquil City FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/5/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad Catolica are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75