GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/5/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Guayaquil City FCDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Universidad CatolicaGuayaquil City FC
54.2Attack27.8
70.8Defence65.3
54.2Form40.3
59.5Power47.1
1.25xG0.43
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