Universidad Catolicavs
Deportivo Cuenca
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/17/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Cuenca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60